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Tuesday, September 27, 2011

MEXDRUGCARTELS in Texas – A Warning from Two Retired Army Generals and the Data to Back that Up

 

Last night MEXDRUGCARTELS posted a summary of two articles regarding a report produced by two retired Army Generals, Barry McCaffrey and Dr Robert Scales, concerning the growing threat along the Texas/Mexico Border. That piece was titled, “Cartel Violence Heading North and Federal Government in “Deep Denial” According to Retired Army General”.

Here is the link to the actual report found on the Texas Department of Agriculture website that resulted in media attention, “Texas Border Security A Strategic Military Assessment September 2011.” You can also download a copy of the report here.

Here are a couple excerpts from the report: clip_image002

TEXAS DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

TODD STAPLES

COMMISSIONER

September 26, 2011

Dear Fellow Texan:

I am pleased to deliver to you this important report entitled “Texas Border Security: A Strategic Military Assessment.” This report is the culmination of many efforts that started with rural farmers and ranchers bringing pleas for a secure border to me. The 82nd Texas Legislature recognized this critical issue and the numerous accounts of cross-border violence and tasked the Texas Department of Agriculture via House Bill 4, to conduct:

“an assessment of the impact of illegal activity along the Texas-Mexico border on rural landowners and the agriculture industry and working in conjunction with other appropriate entities to develop recommendations to enhance border security.”

In accomplishing this legislative directive, the Texas Department of Agriculture joined with the Texas Department of Public Safety to jointly commission retired four-star Army General Barry McCaffrey and retired Army Major-General Robert Scales for this unique and strategic assessment.

General Barry McCaffrey is the former Director of the Office of National Drug Control Policy under President Bill Clinton and former Commander of all U.S. troops in Central and South America. Major-General Robert Scales is the former Commandant of the United States Army War College.

The report offers a military perspective on how to best incorporate strategic, operational and tactical measures to secure the increasingly hostile border regions along the Rio Grande River. It also provides sobering evidence of cartel criminals gaining ground on Texas soil. As Texas continues to seek and deliver solutions to this attack on our nation’s sovereignty, I hope you will find this report enlightening and helpful in our collaborative efforts. We must continue this effort until the rights of property owners to live and work are upheld without threat of violence.

Sincerely yours,

Todd Staples

Another excerpt here (format slightly modified to fit on this page)…McCaffrey is a fine writer, his work is often very well done…easy to understand…excellent clarity on issues addressed.

The study by McCaffrey and Scales is 182 pages and begins with an executive summary. Here’s a small excerpt of that summary from a military perspective. OF SPECIAL NOTE, understand that McCaffrey is not a newbie to the overall drug issue, McCaffrey served as the 4th Director of the Office of National Drug Control Policy:

TEXAS BORDER SECURITY: A STRATEGIC MILITARY ASSESSMENT

Executive Summary

During the past two years the state of Texas has become increasingly threatened by the spread of Mexican cartel organized crime. The threat reflects a change in the strategic intent of the cartels to move their operations into the United States. In effect, the cartels seek to create a “sanitary zone” inside the Texas border -- one county deep -- that will provide sanctuary from Mexican law enforcement and, at the same time, enable the cartels to transform Texas’ border counties into narcotics transshipment points for continued transport and distribution into the continental United States. To achieve their objectives the cartels are relying increasingly on organized gangs to provide expendable and unaccountable manpower to do their dirty work. These gangs are recruited on the streets of Texas cities and inside Texas prisons by top-tier gangs who work in conjunction with the cartels.

Strategic, Operational and Tactical Levels of Conflict

The authors of this report, both retired senior military executives bring more than 80 years

of military and governmental service to their perspective on Texas border security viewed in terms of the classic levels of conflict: strategic, operational and tactical.

Strategic

America’s fight against narco-terrorism, when viewed at the strategic level, takes on the classic trappings of a real war. Crime, gangs and terrorism have converged in such a way that they form a collective threat to the national security of the United States. America is being assaulted not just from across our southern border but from across the hemisphere and beyond. All of Central and South America have become an interconnected source of violence and terrorism. Drug cartels exploit porous borders using all the traditional elements of military force, including command and control, logistics, intelligence, information operations and the application of increasingly deadly firepower. The intention is to increasingly bring governments at all levels throughout the Americas under the influence of international cartels.

Operational

In the United States the operational level of the campaign against cartel terrorism is manifested at the state. Texas has become critical terrain and operational ground zero in the cartel’s effort to expand into the United States. Texas has an expansive border with drug cartels controlling multiple shipping lanes into the state. Texas’ location as the geographic center of the U.S. allows for easier distribution of drugs and people. In effect, the fight for control of the border counties along the Rio Grande has become the operational center of gravity for the cartels and federal, state and local forces that oppose them.

Tactical

At the tactical level of war the cartels seek to gain advantage by exploiting the creases between U.S. federal and state border agencies, and the separation that exists between Mexican and American crime-fighting agencies. Border law enforcement and political officials are the tactical focal point. Sadly, the tactical level is poorly resourced and the most vulnerable to corruption by cartels. To win the tactical fight the counties must have augmentation, oversight and close support from operational and strategic forces. History has shown that a common border offers an enemy sanctuary zone and the opportunity to expand his battlespace in depth and complexity. Our border with Mexico is no exception. Criminality spawned in Mexico is spilling over into the United States. Texas is the tactical close combat zone and frontline in this conflict. Texans have been assaulted by cross-border gangs and narco-terrorist activities. In response, Texas has been the most aggressive and creative in confronting the threat of what has come to be a narco-terrorist military-style campaign being waged against them.

If you want another perspective of the drug war you are not hearing about from the Federal government or mainstream media Skim through, if not read the entire report

“Complacency Kills”…is a quote and concept I first learned as a young Marine during studies on Terrorism and as an Anti-Terrorism Force Protection Instructor.  You have to have the mind and agility of a hunter, or you may end up as someone else’s meal. 

Note:  Sources are hyperlinked.

Cheers, swothunterlogo

Monday, September 26, 2011

Cartel Violence Heading North and Federal Government in “Deep Denial” According to Retired Army General

 

Retired Army Generals Barry McCaffrey and Robert Scales recently released their assessment regarding the status of Mexican Drug Cartel activity along the US/Mexican border.  The four-month long non-partisan study was sponsored by the “Texas Departments of Agriculture and Public Safety”.

According to two media sources cited below, their [General’s] basic assumptions were that the US Federal government is in “deep denial” regarding the threat of instability the cartels pose to US national security.  The threat, in their assessment, continues to move their “battlefield” north.

According to McCaffrey, "We're going to have a shameful incident on the U.S./Mexico border in the coming years if we don't amp up security on the frontier. It's coming” .

Of note, General McCaffrey stated that more people have been killed in the US than has been recorded, an observation he noted was not recorded in US statistics.  The source of the information was a Texas rancher, but the targets of the murders were illegal aliens and the murders were higher than Texas Department of Public Safety statistics as the 22 became hundreds.  Ergo, McCaffrey implied the official federal statistics are not accurate, and the cartels are operating more freely across the US borders than originally believed.

One of the media sources below interviewed another respected Cartel analyst, Sylvia Longmire, whom the source article seem to imply she offered a counterpoint to McCaffrey’s assessment by saying "It's not in the cartels' best interest to draw attention to themselves" because it disrupts the goal of the cartels.  Longmire is not the only person to question the assessment there are others as well which are noted within the last source below.

My comment is this, while I do agree with Longmire with respect to the current situation, I think we need to consider the long-term ramifications of such actions if they are not monitored and disrupted.  Because if the issue is not disrupted, the United States WILL have a problem where portions of the border may become ungovernable.  We’ve a bad economy and people are looking at alternatives to making money to survive, drug trafficking is one means, people smuggling is another, wittingly/unwittingly smuggling terrorists and/or nefarious actors wishing to subvert US interests are another.

Failing to take aggressive and appropriate diplomatic, security, economic and informational measures is exactly why the drug war in Mexico that began in the 1980s reached its current state and only continues to worsen as of today.  Mexico is not a cohesive nation, it’s a Frankenstein hybrid made of some non-corrupt entities and states combined with fiefdoms.

Last, General McCaffrey warned the current and previous administrations about the growing cartel problem that is now reaching thermal runaway.  You can read that report here - General Barry McCaffrey Warns Obama Administration in 2008. Death Rate Appears to Have Quadrupled.swothunterlogo Also, a publication written by the General is linked below.

 

 

 

 

Sources:  Report Says Cartel Violence Heading North - KRGV CHANNEL 5 NEWS - The Rio Grande Valley's News Channel - Breaking News, Breaking Stories - RGV News

and

Report Cites Anecdotes to Show Spillover Border Violence

The Drug Scourge as a Hemispheric Problem
Blogger Labels: Cartel,Violence,North,Federal,Government,Deep,Denial,Army,General,Generals,Barry,McCaffrey,Robert,Scales,status,Mexican,Drug,Texas,Departments,Agriculture,Public,assumptions,threat,cartels,battlefield,incident,Mexico,frontier,observation,statistics,information,rancher,aliens,Department,statistic,Ergo,media,analyst,Sylvia,Longmire,article,attention,goal,person,situation,ramifications,money,terrorists,actors,Last,administrations,thermal,Warns,Obama,Administration,Death,Rate,Appears

Tuesday, September 20, 2011

Research Resource: Threat Posed by Mounting Vigilantism in Mexico

 

Below is a copy of the source page:

Threat Posed by Mounting Vigilantism in Mexico

Authored by Dr. George W. Grayson.

Threat Posed by Mounting Vigil... Cover Image

  • Added September 15, 2011
  • Type: Monograph
  • 75 Pages
  • Download Format: PDF
  • Cost: Free

Brief Synopsis

Until the 1980s, Mexico enjoyed relative freedom from violence. Ruthless drug cartels existed, but they usually abided by informal rules of conduct hammered out between several capos and representatives of the dominant Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), which ruled the country until the 1990s. Relying on bribes, the desperados pursued their illicit activities with the connivance of authorities. In return for the legal authorities turning a blind eye, drug dealers behaved discretely, shunned high-tech weapons, deferred to public figures, spurned kidnapping, and even appeared with governors at their children’s weddings. Unlike their Colombian counterparts, Mexico’s barons did not seek elective office. In addition, they did not sell drugs within the country, corrupt children, target innocent people, engage in kidnapping, or invade the turf or product-line (marijuana, heroin, cocaine, etc.) of competitors. The situation was sufficiently fluid so that should a local police or military unit refuse to cooperate with a cartel, the latter would simply transfer its operations to a nearby municipality where they could clinch the desired arrangement. Three key events in the 1980s and 1990s changed the “live and let live” ethos that enveloped illegal activities. Mexico became the new avenue for Andean cocaine shipped to the United States after the U.S. military and law-enforcement authorities sharply reduced its flow into Florida and other South Atlantic states. The North American Free Trade Agreement, which took effect on January 1, 1994, greatly increased economic activities throughout the continent. Dealers often hid cocaine and other drugs among the merchandise that moved northward through Nuevo Laredo, El Paso, Tijuana, and other portals. The change in routes gave rise to Croesus-like profits for cocaine traffickers--a phenomenon that coincided with an upsurge of electoral victories. Largely unexamined amid this narco-mayhem are vigilante activities. With federal resources aimed at drug traffickers and local police more often a part of the problem than a part of the solution, vigilantes are stepping into the void. Suspected criminals who run afoul of these vigilantes endure the brunt of a skewed version of justice that enjoys a groundswell of support.

Source:  Threat Posed by Mounting Vigilantism in Mexico

Blogger Labels: Research,Resource,Threat,Vigilantism,Mexico,freedom,violence,drug,cartels,Institutional,Revolutionary,desperados,connivance,dealers,governors,weddings,Colombian,counterparts,barons,office,addition,drugs,product,competitors,situation,unit,cartel,arrangement,Three,events,ethos,avenue,Andean,States,enforcement,Florida,South,Atlantic,North,American,Free,Trade,Agreement,January,continent,Nuevo,Laredo,Paso,Tijuana,portals,Croesus,phenomenon,upsurge,victories,mayhem,resources,solution,criminals,brunt,version,justice,groundswell,cocaine,traffickers,vigilantes

Monday, September 19, 2011

Research Resource: Mexodus Project

 

Picture Source:  Study documents exodus from Mexico | wfaa.com Dallas Fort Worth

19 September 2011

The University of Texas at El Paso (UT-El Paso) launched a project to record Mexican migrations and the reasons why. The project is dubbed the Mexodus Project.

So far, the project determined that many thousands of people fled Mexico for the US, or less violent regions of Mexico, to escape areas dominated by the drug cartels or other forms of major criminal activity.

The site documents drivers that force people to leave parts of Mexico, or Mexico as a whole, as well as document the socio-economic impacts the cartels/criminal elements have on local society.

In other words, the site documents incidences contributing to the gradual disintegration of Mexican society.

Here are some key findings noted on the About page.

The result is more than 20 stories in two languages, videos, slideshows, photos, info graphics and charts produced by participation from nearly 100 student journalists from four universities, University of Texas El Paso, California State University Northridge, and Tecnológico de Monterrey in Chihuahua and México City.

Although it was difficult for students to quantify the dislocation of México’s middle class due to the violence – researchers and demographers estimate the Mexodus at about 125,000 – more empirical studies will likely reveal a larger number of refugees pushed out by growing violence, perhaps twice as many, according to some.

Another remarkable finding of the nine-month-long project is that the number of Mexicans filing for asylum in the U.S. has skyrocketed by 300 percent in the last five years, during the height of the drug violence, among those requesting asylum are several well-regarded journalists.


Click to access the site:  Mexodus Project Web site

 

Source:  Study documents exodus from Mexico | wfaa.com Dallas - Fort Worth

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Sunday, September 18, 2011

The American Backyard.NET: A Must Read - Global Warrior Averting WWIII - US L...

The American Backyard.NET: A Must Read - Global Warrior Averting WWIII - US L...: Global Warrior: Averting WWIII US Loss of Super Power Status Gives Way to a Wave of Threats Global Warrior Averting WWIII H. John P...

The American Backyard.NET: Sinaloa Cartel Ties to Philadelphia, Pennsylvania ...

The American Backyard.NET: Sinaloa Cartel Ties to Philadelphia, Pennsylvania ...: 15 September 2011 - Philadelphia authorities “shut down a direct pipeline into the city” with ties to Mexican drug cartels, specifically th...

Report: More Mexican Youths Die From Violence Than Auto Accidents 2008 to 2009- International News - AllMediaNY

Excerpt and link to the report in Spanish.

The Mexico City daily El Universal reports (link in Spanish, interpreted by the Los Angeles Times) that “government statistics [reviewed by the newspaper] show that in 2008 and 2009, the second and third complete years of Mexico’s drug war, violent deaths of people between 15 and 29 shot up about 150 percent.”

Source:  Report: More Mexican Youths Die From Violence Than Auto Accidents - International News - AllMediaNY

The American Backyard.NET: Mexican Cartels Dominate Illicit Drug Trafficking ...

The American Backyard.NET: Mexican Cartels Dominate Illicit Drug Trafficking ...: Excerpt from National Drug Assessment Summary, page 2 Mexican-based TCOs dominate the supply, trafficking, and wholesale distribution of m...

The American Backyard.NET: Mexican Drug Trafficking Will NOT Abate in Near Te...

The American Backyard.NET: Mexican Drug Trafficking Will NOT Abate in Near Te...: Excerpt from National Drug Assessment 2011, page 3 The threat posed by the trafficking and abuse of illicit drugs will not abate in the ne...

The American Backyard.NET: USDOJ: National Drug Threat Assessment 2011 by the...

The American Backyard.NET: USDOJ: National Drug Threat Assessment 2011 by the...: National Drug Threat Assessment 2011 Released The National Drug Threat Assessment 2011 is a comprehensive assessment of the threat pose...

Friday, September 2, 2011

Mexico: Police Corruption - Mexican Police Officer Arrested For Casino Fire in Monterey

Comment:  Report documents an incident regarding police corruption

MEXICO CITY — Federal police arrested a state police officer Thursday in connection with last week’s arson fire at a casino that killed 52 people in northern Mexico.

Source:  State police officer detained in Mexico casino arson that killed 52 - The Washington Post

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